Saturday, May 27, 2006

Weatherpeople

What I'd give to be a weatherperson, to get paid for looking nice, being likable, point to a blank screen, and know that I will be wrong 99% of the time.

Just last night, they were calling for a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. So, according to them, there was a 70% chance we wouldn't get these storms. It rained and stormed off and on from midnight through nine in the morning.

I think we'd be just as accurate in thinking the opposite of what the weatherperson tells us. The percentages have to equal 100. So, since they said there was only a 30% chance, there's actually a 70% chance. If there's a 100% chance, then okay, we can count on there being some precipitation. If they don't mention rain at all, then allright, there's no chance. But, if they say there's a 10% chance of rain, get your umbrellas ready, because what they're really saying is that there's a 90% chance of precipitation. At the end of the year, if one were to tally up the number of times their percentage was more accurate than mine and vice versa, I'm guessing we'd be pretty even.

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